This is one of my favorite times of year- and the best part of Awards Season- OSCAR SUNDAY!  Last year I had fun with my Oscar Predictions post, so I thought I would write one up this year as well. 🙂  My kids, of course, have not seen too many of the nominated films- but they too are still excited to watch the Ceremony with me.  We are going to have tons of food, and beverages, and ballots to fill out…  They have to pick randomly, obviously, but there will be prizes for correct answers and a winner in the end!  I do wish I was at the Oscars, watching it in person.  It’s hard to believe it was only a couple of months ago I stood outside that theater, fantasizing about what it would be like to attend the Academy Awards. But, since that cannot happen, I will be content watching it and celebrating with the loves of my life!
There was far too much upset this year after the nominations were announced. Â I don’t understand how people can say there wasn’t enough diversity amongst the nominees- why should people be selected based on race at all? Â I thought the Academy was to look at actual performances here??? Â Will Smith has been nominated in the past (he was beat out in 2001 by Denzel Washington, and in 2006 by Forest Whitaker)- so how could they claim that he wasn’t nominated this year because the Academy primarily chooses white actors? Â I am sure he did an amazing job, he is a very talented actor, but is it possible that others simply did better? Â That is all I will say about that…
Along with my commentary below, my predictions will be in italics.  I like to choose two for each category on my personal ballot- who I want to win, and who I think will win, as they aren’t always the same.  There were so many good films this year!  Before the Academy Awards, I try and see most, if not all, of the nominated films and performances.
B E S T Â S U P P O R T I N G Â A C T O R
The Awards Ceremony will be starting out with a tough category this year.  Mark Ruffalo is amazing in every role he plays, and Spotlight is no exception.  I always find him very convincing as his characters.  I didn’t see Creed, so it is hard for me to judge Sylvester Stallone, but I can’t help but feel he was possibly nominated just out of respect.  I do believe he will take home the Oscar though, as everyone seems to love his story and how far he has come since his nomination almost 40 years ago.  I felt Mark Rylance was good in Bridge of Spies, and I know that most experts predict a win for him, but his performance just didn’t stand out to me as much as the others.  Tom Hardy was incredible in the Revenant, but I really wish to see Christian Bale take home the statue.  He seems to be able to take on so many different forms, he reminds me of a Chameleon.  In The Big Short, it didn’t feel like I was watching the same guy that played Batman, that’s for sure.
B E S T Â S U P P O R T I N G Â A C T R E S SÂ
I was watching The Danish Girl when I thought to myself; how could Alicia Vikander not get nominated for Best Actress in a Supporting Role?  She blew me away!  Of course, I was pleasantly surprised when I realized long after the fact that she actually was given a nomination.  I really want to see her win, and I also believe that she will.  If I were to choose a second favorite, I would have to go with Jennifer Jason Leigh for her role in The Hateful Eight.  That came out of nowhere, and I did not expect to care for her in that movie.  A lot of her scenes and delivered lines caused me to actually say “Holy Crap” out loud in the theater (my apologies to the guy in front of me).  Rooney Mara really did nothing for me in Carol- I didn’t find her part believable at all.  I love Rachel McAdams, and she did great in Spotlight, but the role didn’t feel near as challenging as the roles of her contenders, and a lot of times it felt just a little too scripted.  I am a fan of Kate Winslet’s as well, and part of me thinks she will win the award just because of her history with this sort of thing- that being said- I don’t think she should.  There were scenes in Steve Jobs in which she was incredible- and then others not so much.  And I don’t understand why she had a strong accent in one scene, then lost the accent in the next, only to have it again 5 minutes later???
B E S T Â A C T O R
Predicting winners for the leading roles are even more difficult.  I would say I’ll sleep on it, but I have already been contemplating this for quite sometime, and tomorrow is the big day!  Can I please just pick three favorites, and can those three please have an Oscar of their own to bring to their after parties tomorrow night?  No???  Fine.  Bryan Cranston was sure a different man that Walter White in his leading role in Trumbo, and he pulled it off fantastically!  He was the best thing about the film by far.  Everyone loves Matt Damon no matter what he does.  If he wins, I can’t wait to see what Jimmy Kimmel has to say about it.  Hell- if he loses I can’t wait to see what Jimmy Kimmel has to say about it.  Michael Fassbender- oh my good lord his dialogue as Steve Jobs was smart and his delivery was unbeatable!  Give him the Oscar!  Wait… hold on a second.  Truth be told Eddie Redmayne deserves the Oscar.  He was absolutely flawless in The Danish Girl.  I predicted a win for him last year, and he won… I want to see him win again.  What are the chances that he could deliver such unbelievably moving performances two years in a row?  Okay this is hard- because Leonardo DiCaprio also deserves to win in this category.  And not just because he has lost so many times and it is somehow “owed” to him.  His misery and suffering in The Revenant  had me feeling actual physical pain.  Argh.  Let them all win!  Since I HAVE to pick someone – I will predict that Leonardo will finally get his win.  Or Eddie will.  No- Leo.  I think it will be Leo.Â
B E S T Â A C T R E S S
I love you Cate Blanchett, I really do, but I simply felt that there was a thing or two lacking in Carol- possibly not in your performance as much as how you were being directed- I don’t know.  But I just can’t offer this win up to you personally.  Charlotte Rampling I cannot judge, as I did not see 45 years.  Strangely it never came to a theater near me, nor was it released on DVD prior to the Oscars.  So not my fault.  Jennifer Lawrence did outstanding in Joy, and she may be privy to the award simply because she is always a favorite amongst the people that matter.  Saoirse Ronan is young, she will have plenty of time to win this award.  She was great in Brooklyn, no doubt, but I think it will just be too hard to beat out Brie Larson’s performance in The Room!  I felt for her character through the entire story.  She did an amazing job causing my heart to be ripped out from my chest.  Thanks for that.  She deserves the Oscar, and I think she will get it!  (okay she was cute as Amy Schumer’s sister in Trainwreck too- but that’s on a whole different level than this performance.)
C I N E M A T O G R A P H YÂ
My jaw was dropped during 98.2% of The Revenant, purely due to the Cinematography. Â It is up against Carol, The Hateful Eight, Mad Max, and Sicario. Â Sicario is getting a lot of votes in magazine articles, and Mad Max is definitely a contender as well, but if The Revenant doesn’t win I may slap someone. Â I have never seen such beautifully unique filming! Â I can’t even put it into words- you must see it to understand. Â Plus if he wins, Emmanuel Lubezki will be the first to get a three-peat. Â I believe that to be true anyhow- I am too tired and it’s too late for me to fact check that. Â But if I remember correctly- he would be the first? Â Either way that would be awesome. Â He won for Gravity, then the following year (last year) for Birdman. Â He takes the art a step further each time, and far beyond what others have done. Â And the Award goes to….
B E S T Â P I C T U R E
And now the big one.  Personally, the Actor/Actress categories are more exciting to me, but this is the one everyone waits all evening for I suppose.  So many great films this year, and I was lucky enough to have been able to see all of the nominated pictures.  The Martian was cute, and funny, yet emotional at times as well.  Mad Max was exciting, and different, and fun to watch.  I loved how fast paced it was.  Brooklyn was a feel good story, with great acting- and would be a great book to read.  It offered great insight into the life of an Irish Immigrant that I otherwise would not have known the first thing about.  The love story within was very sweet and hard not to fall for.  Bridge of Spies was an interesting subject as well, although it didn’t grab me as the others did, it was still a good History lesson.  The Big Short made me angry and frightened at the same time- I cannot believe how much I learned that I now wish I didn’t understand.  The acting was right on throughout, and there really were a LOT of great performances within.  The script was smooth and quick witted (although not near as good as Steve Jobs-yet no nomination there for Best Picture).  Spotlight shed light on yet another hard to handle subject.  This one hurt in the pit of my stomach, knowing the things that happened and how they were covered up.  Everyone did a great job in this film.  I believe The Big Short will win, with Spotlight being it’s greatest contender.  But what film I would like to win is a different story.  I wish either The Room or The Revenant would win.  The Room was my favorite of all the nominated films, and The Hateful Eight, but again- no nomination there either).  The Room is emotional, and really tears at your heart.  It tells the story of a mom and her son that were held captive, and I love that it focuses so much on how things are seen from the young boy’s eyes- after never having seen the outside world before their escape.  There were scenes in this movie in which I was literally gripping the armrest and saying things out loud, such as “GO! GO!!!”  I became very emotionally involved.  The Revenant was brutal, and heartbreaking.  A lot of dialogue wasn’t even necessary to cause you to become fully invested in the story line.  The battle scenes are like nothing I have ever seen before.  Prepare yourself for violence and gore…  but it was all necessary in this case.
I believe Alejandro G. Inarritu, after winning last year for Best Director (Birdman) will win again this year (The Revenant).  That would be a big deal to take home consecutive Oscars in the Directing category, as no one has done that for over 50 years!  Costume Design either needs to go to The Revenant or The Danish Girl, the latter being my vote.  I hope to see Inside Out win for Animated Feature Film, just because I loved it so much.  Let’s talk about Screenplays!  I feel adamant that The Big Short should win for Best Adapted, and that either Spotlight or Inside Out should win for Best Original.  I cannot believe that Steve Jobs was not nominated for Best Screenplay, with its incredible, witty, fast dialogue. Â
No matter who wins in what category… I will be happy as a clam tomorrow. Â I love watching the Awards Ceremony! Â I love the fashion, the jokes, the excitement, the moments, the speeches, the tears, the emotion…. Â Have fun at your Oscar Parties everyone! Â Good luck to all of the amazing people nominated!
If you are like a large percentage of Americans, and you do not wish to see all of the Oscar Nominated Films- I still suggest you at least see The Room, The Hateful Eight, and Steve Jobs. Â Oh, and The Revenant. Â But really, you should probably just see them all. Â